Informal-Brilliant
0x43dfc6d3b07f3a0e8763fb3ecf46cd9576e7e6e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$250.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
13796 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
4991 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2613 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-998.69
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
2305 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-253.50
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
1443 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
479 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-157.94
- LIONS
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
115 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson say "Blood Boy" while tripping balls?
87 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson say "Snake Oil" while tripping balls?
64 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?
52 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$572.69May 30, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$497.75May 30, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$429.03May 22, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.5KMay 19, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.6KApr 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$998.69Mar 30, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.1KMar 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1000.00Mar 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$39.02Feb 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$200.00Feb 28, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$253.50Feb 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$253.50Jan 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$257.44Jan 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?$34.34Dec 1, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson say "Stress" or "DNA" or "Sexual" while tripping balls?$35.44Dec 1, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?$36.22Dec 1, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson say "Depression" while tripping balls?$38.97Dec 1, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Illegal" or "Experiment" while tripping balls?$33.88Dec 1, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" while tripping balls?$35.48Dec 1, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?$41.77Dec 1, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $273.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".