Simple-Attack
0x43f7f0c3effde3c61b4257849bfc6e30912e35e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-318.95
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3868 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.9K
$49.86
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1500 shares @ 63.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$832.50
$-121.50
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
744 shares @ 80.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$598.82
$-3.21
- NO
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
604 shares @ 85.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$516.27
$-0.36
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
465 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$459.18
$7.67
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
1700 shares @ 36.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$433.50
$-189.20
- NO
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
432 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$429.84
$6.48
- NO
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
185 shares @ 88.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$182.79
$18.71
- NO
Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be exactly 0.1?
250 shares @ 56.1¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$142.47
$2.15
- YES
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?
428 shares @ 7.3¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$28.69
$-2.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be exactly 0.1?$143.40Jul 28, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?$3.1KJul 24, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$275.90Jul 23, 14:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.4KJul 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?$353.13Jul 20, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 20, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?$3.0KJul 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 19, 22:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.4KJul 17, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be between 86 and 89?$55.00Jul 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$817.76Jul 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?$117.66Jul 17, 09:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$10.80Jul 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$43.20Jul 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?$63.22Jul 16, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?$423.36Jul 16, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $306.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.