OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Sep 13, 2026

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Probability

62¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$185.85

Liquidity

$37.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:49
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3366h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3366.2h

    LOW
  • 17:49Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3366h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 62¢.

Biggest hourly move: +3.0pp at 2d ago (to 61¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 13, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Official government informationOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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