Frightening-Rainmaker
0x43fdf2f78aee5d5248fb10149f2d2d9a966759d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$560.87
Total PnL
$-97.78
Realised
$-17.03
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 96.5¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$93.22
$-4.20
- NO
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
60 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$57.96
$0.36
- NO
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
60 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$57.75
$-0.27
- YES
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 87.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.70
$-1.50
- NO
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$50.10
$-0.30
- NO
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$49.80
$-1.20
- NO
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
40 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$32.00
$0.40
- YES
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
35 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$31.23
$-1.24
- YES
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch
40 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.40
$-2.00
- NO
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
60 shares @ 41.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$22.80
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$31.60May 30, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.84May 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.62May 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$21.58May 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?$72.80May 30, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.13May 30, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?$33.23May 30, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?$51.00May 30, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?$31.66May 30, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?$72.00May 30, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?$53.40May 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?$52.20May 30, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?$0.40May 30, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026?$9.60May 30, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026?$30.80May 30, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?$19.91May 30, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?$2.42May 30, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?$5.28May 30, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$50.40May 30, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$57.60May 30, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $30.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".