Classic-Circumstance
0x440a61ee08ef5c9b85afaab07970bec99c66e031
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.19
Total PnL
$-37.93
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.21
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 29?
3204 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 26?
1120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 10?
1102 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 5?
1098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?
1088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 29?
1078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?
1073 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?$2.12Jun 5, 01:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.66Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.20Jun 2, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.21May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?$1.30May 27, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.02May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 22, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21?$1.1KMay 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21?$1.1KMay 21, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $378.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.