Uncommon-Sprinter-Mailing
0x44246224898f5ef09d3491776ea4645ba049e29f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.64
Realised
$0.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 73°F or below on July 13?
254 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?
70 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?
40 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
17 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?$0.00Jul 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?$11.86Jul 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 13?$10.76Jul 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?$8.40Jul 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 13?$8.29Jul 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?$5.25Jul 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?$5.25Jul 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$4.11Jul 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$3.12Jul 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.55Jul 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.95Jul 13, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$3.18Jul 13, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$3.15Jul 13, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$9.77Jul 13, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$4.19Jul 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.93Jul 13, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.18Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$3.27Jul 13, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.