Thrifty-Outrigger
0x4427d66408844d316371f5cc641fb925ec6fccf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$73.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
1413 shares @ 56.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$499.75
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
1235 shares @ 81.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$220.28
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
1288 shares @ 77.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$204.07
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
633 shares @ 78.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$535.04
$39.02
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
368 shares @ 81.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$367.72
$67.72
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$344.31
$44.31
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
357 shares @ 86.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$337.50
$27.50
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
245 shares @ 81.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$244.44
$44.44
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
244 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$243.29
$43.29
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
233 shares @ 85.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$232.79
$32.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?$150.44Jun 11, 07:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $233.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.