Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Probability
19¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$53.61
Liquidity
$19.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5991.9h
- 08:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5992h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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