Best-Asphalt
0x4430f08dd5fe3212b47fe8c90bdd2c58db76f40e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$57.08
Total PnL
$-515.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
308 shares @ 9.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.58
$-2.42
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
225 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.04
$-5.96
- YES
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?
2399 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-340.29
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
82 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
21 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$460.83Jun 9, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.26Jun 9, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$310.19Jun 9, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$41.74Jun 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11.87Jun 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$29.74Jun 9, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$429.00Jun 9, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $184.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.