Clever-Nylon
0x4439df68d325460f2ea56a08d5a702bcb0069c3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$5.31
Total PnL
$-346.73
Realised
$-4.45
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.31
$-4.69
- YES
Will Gualberto Cusi Mamani win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FURIA win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?
6060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Leinier Domínguez win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$24.00Apr 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$14.14Apr 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.80Apr 12, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$15.00Apr 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12.79Apr 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$17.63Apr 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.20Apr 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 11, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$10.00Apr 11, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$6.04Apr 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.93Apr 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$6.00Apr 9, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$5.70Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.00Apr 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$10.00Apr 7, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$10.00Apr 7, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 7, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 7, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.03Aug 19, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 21:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".