Exalted-Complicity
0x444d3164b2e93dae5a3b97a88a500b87afd86f56
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will White House post 0-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 1?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1.00Apr 23, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 23, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 1?$1.00Mar 31, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$2.00Mar 30, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 0-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".