Fair-Modernity
0x444d55188ec38ba1e5937654f38bd13adc5aa5fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$448.00
Total PnL
$-179.22
Realised
$66.68
Win rate
61%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- GENONE
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
25 shares @ 49.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$24.80
$12.62
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$18.01
$0.01
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
16 shares @ 82.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$15.80
$2.80
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
15 shares @ 61.5¢·now 85.1¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$12.44
$3.44
- GALIONS
LoL: Galions vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
14 shares @ 84.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$12.05
$0.05
- ZYB ESPORT
LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
11 shares @ 39.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.03
$6.70
- UNDER
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
15 shares @ 59.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.98
$1.98
- GENONE
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage
12 shares @ 77.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.58
$1.10
- EX-YOUNG NINJAS
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage
10 shares @ 51.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.18
$4.94
- G2 NORD
LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B
10 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMMubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Eala$33.75Jul 29, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs$50.81Jul 29, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: ARC (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)$1.09Jul 29, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs$1.02Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$1.02Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$1.02Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$1.02Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)$1.01Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Eala$1.03Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$1.02Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
38 closed markets, 61% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.