Naughty-Pipeline
0x4451dfba583ceea8190e873c598a5fca437bffe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.36
Total PnL
$-3.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.42
$0.00
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.84
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA reach $244 in April?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.75
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.64
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$1.44
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.43
$0.02
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.25
$0.01
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$2.42Jun 1, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.64May 9, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $244 in April?$1.74Apr 30, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.34Apr 29, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?$1.41Apr 29, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?$1.42Apr 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$1.25Mar 30, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.24Mar 29, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.84Dec 30, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.15Dec 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.19Dec 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.34Dec 29, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.13Dec 26, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.21Dec 26, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.34Dec 26, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.34Dec 24, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.30Dec 24, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.64Dec 24, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.07Dec 23, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.27Dec 23, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.