Steep-Glue
0x44529187b962905ac2d94014bbe81916026dbc0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$421.45
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$153.85
$53.85
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$114.94
$14.94
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
103 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$102.56
$2.56
- YES
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$50.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
1500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
115 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- EAGLES
Eagles vs. Giants
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Mar 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 30, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$50.00Mar 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$20.00Mar 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$100.00Mar 30, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$100.00Mar 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.5KMar 30, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?$25.00Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?$25.00Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 10?$26.74Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$30.21Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by October 15?$56.82Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$100.00Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$102.25Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$104.82Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$107.53Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$109.89Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?$120.00Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$129.25Mar 30, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $303.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.