Lumbering-Particular
0x445717b515f7e7b71a98e867a0329261dbadb5b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-533.7K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
695704 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-529.2K
- YES
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
4000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-50.26
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
3259 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2024$0.00
$-145.99
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
3220 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
1508 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-43.73
- YES
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?
1400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?
1280 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-51.53
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
1070 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-512.30
- YES
Is $DJT real?
541 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?
385 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2024$0.00
$-73.10
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$287.12Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$987.63Jun 1, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.1KJun 1, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14.4KJun 1, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$44.1KJun 1, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$54.04Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$398.68Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$371.52Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$93.99Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$358.50Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$289.84Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$49.25Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.10Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$72.52Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$253.36Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$260.92Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.6KJun 1, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35.84Jun 1, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.72Jun 1, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.2KJun 1, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$14.2K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 1, 12:40 UTC → Jun 1, 12:33 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.1K@81¢Jun 1, 12:33 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.1K@81¢Jun 1, 12:32 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$14.2K
2 trades
30d volume
$14.2K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$14.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".