Tiny-Tumbler
0x445e88628a68c596c857085eb26f6379a1f49be0
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$20.7K
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$823.59
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6452 shares @ 94.1¢·now 84.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.5K
$-611.46
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
4191 shares @ 69.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.9K
$15.77
- NO
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2202 shares @ 94.3¢·now 80.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$-309.45
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
2000 shares @ 83.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$69.96
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 31.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-654.07
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1212 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$586.00
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 64.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$213.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$979.51
$479.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3906 shares @ 28.6¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$908.06
$-209.42
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$569.70
$269.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.36Jun 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.69Jun 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.17Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.79Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$158.99Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.40Jun 12, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.30Jun 12, 01:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.82Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.29Jun 11, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.47Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$960.00Jun 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$573.60Jun 11, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$680.00Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$330.00Jun 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.9KJun 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.5KJun 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$15.55Jun 11, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.94Jun 11, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $474.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.