Prize-Ephemeris
0x4473647ec4ff5768d70581990d7db4b94d5431b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$90.00
Total PnL
$-6.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- KNICKS
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
72 shares @ 68.7¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$48.33
$-1.19
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
111 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$39.44
$-0.56
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-9.5)$49.99Jun 1, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$40.77Jun 1, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?$3.03Jun 1, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.04Jun 1, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?$4.03Jun 1, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?$3.00Mar 4, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?$4.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.47Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$4.07Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$5.00Feb 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$2.00Feb 23, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$4.00Feb 23, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?$1.11Feb 23, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 26 above $160?$2.06Feb 23, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$2.59Feb 23, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$2.50Jan 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.30Jan 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 26 above $160?$2.00Jan 30, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".