Live-Sword
0x447481b2078d48a11d255beda3566d9ed417a528
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$50.45
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$30.49
$27.72
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
17 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$17.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
550 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.47
$-0.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 15?
7700 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
40 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$17.02Jun 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 2, 06:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 3?$30.49Jun 2, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 3?$30.02Jun 2, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$19.78Jun 2, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.00Jun 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$29.34May 24, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$18.11May 24, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$3.46May 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 15?$9.62Feb 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 15?$36.26Feb 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 15?$18.50Feb 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 15?$564.62Feb 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 15?$740.00Feb 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 15?$1.5KFeb 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$15.20Nov 5, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on October 18?$18.03Oct 25, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on October 18?$17.98Oct 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.4KOct 10, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.4KOct 10, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $645.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".