0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319
0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$296.5K
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-16.3K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
81490 shares @ 89.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$80.5K
$7.5K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
64851 shares @ 90.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$63.7K
$5.1K
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
39927 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$34.9K
$1.4K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300000 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.9K
$-3.9K
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
32862 shares @ 77.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.5K
$-932.80
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
25000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$21.6K
$625.00
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
10571 shares @ 72.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.9K
$164.29
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
7500 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.4K
$78.75
- YES
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
10000 shares @ 68.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.5K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
4066 shares @ 81.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.0K
$699.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$430.20Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$132.66Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$427.65Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$3.88Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$3.67Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$0.95Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$1.92Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$75.90Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$79.47Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$79.46Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$2.45Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$81.58Jun 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$81.58Jun 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$4.80Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$11.28Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$2.94Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$10.54Jun 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$10.54Jun 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$45.58Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$45.58Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$29.1K
Trades
4
Buy share
74%
Window
May 29, 20:50 UTC → Jun 4, 22:50 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.6K@72¢Jun 4, 22:50 UTC
- BUYWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$6.6K@100¢Jun 4, 00:51 UTC
- BUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$9.4K@100¢May 30, 18:22 UTC
- BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$5.4K@99¢May 29, 20:45 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$29.1K
4 trades
Buy share
74%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
$9.4K · 32% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $105.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.