Quick-Downgrade
0x449583434be22d724f30ac694a4dd559ae2c429f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$61.49
Total PnL
$-980.79
Realised
$248.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
953 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.49
$-62.45
- YES
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
5486 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-398.86
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
2723 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
986 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-385.19
- NEW ZEALAND
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand
486 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-155.59
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.05
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by January 31?
408 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 16?
201 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PACKERS
Packers vs. Bears
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.00May 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.07May 28, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00May 28, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.00May 28, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.