Muffled-Census-Diversity
0x44a320d7bdc0e680c4f266b2590701ea5d09b5d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-999.31
Realised
$-56.84
Win rate
6%
108 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
1005 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
558 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
282 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
198 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
188 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
119 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.03Jul 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.03Jul 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.10Jul 30, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$6.18Jul 30, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$6.25Jul 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$3.11Jul 30, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Team Spirit (BO5) - Mid Season Cup Playoffs$3.65Jul 30, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Team Spirit (BO5) - Mid Season Cup Playoffs$5.15Jul 30, 10:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$3.16Jul 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$3.27Jul 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$35.60Jul 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$35.45Jul 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$63.79Jul 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$63.94Jul 13, 07:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$21.69Jul 12, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 108 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
108 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $14.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 108 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.