Wary-Background
0x44b652b5116aac29b416668186e767d8a4c1de7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$564.57
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
495 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$483.80
$236.08
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
495 shares @ 50.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.64
$-236.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.09
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.60
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.60
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.60
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?$1.108h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 14?$9.108h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?$8.608h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 14?$7.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on May 14?$7.208h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?$7.608h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 14?$8.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on May 14?$8.908h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on May 14?$6.608h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 63°F or below on May 14?$6.108h ago
- MERGEWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$100.508h ago
- YIELD$0.0711h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?$1.9012h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or higher on May 12?$1.5012h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 12?$1.5018h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on May 12?$1.5018h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 12?$1.1020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?$1.3022h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 12?$1.501d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 52-53°F on May 12?$1.601d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".