Identical-Traveler-Wampum
0x44c08bbfd779e97f9415546f66ca682e474866f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$34.00
Total PnL
$-7.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- YES
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$3.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.36
$0.36
- YES
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.91Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.04Jun 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?$1.03Jun 11, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.53Jun 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?$1.02Jun 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?$1.01Jun 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?$1.03Jun 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?$1.05Jun 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.02Jun 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 9, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red?$1.01Jun 9, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00Jun 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1.01Jun 9, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 9, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 9, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 9, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 9, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.