Mediocre-Authorisation
0x44d1be318aa6f0582e96eddd86f32e1778dd7066
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.20
Total PnL
$-31.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.20
$-9.80
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 580 and 599 times September 5–12?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Pump.fun launch a token by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$377.64Dec 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$378.02Dec 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$378.01Dec 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$378.40Dec 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$14.00Nov 28, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$1.00Oct 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$5.00Oct 9, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$1.40Sep 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 580 and 599 times September 5–12?$1.50Sep 11, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?$6.00Sep 11, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun launch a token by December 31? $2.00Jul 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.00Jul 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$2.00Jan 18, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMJumper airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 4, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 4, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMFarcaster airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 4, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMAstaria airdrop in 2024?$0.11Jan 4, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMBerachain airdrop in 2024?$0.57Jan 4, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$1.02Jan 4, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 29, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $50.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".