Jaded-Drawbridge
0x44d2985365391fcc1f19990bbef31e5988920a30
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$67.92
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
377 shares @ 40.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.92
$-83.01
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
6250 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-159.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
1300 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?
928 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?
828 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 15?
509 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 30?
500 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.98
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
500 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 28?
500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
409 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-146.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$37.14Apr 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$113.80Apr 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$145.00Apr 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$143.64Apr 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$184.51Apr 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$47.50Apr 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$19.41Apr 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$22.59Apr 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 15?$2.60Apr 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.67Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.13Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.73Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.64Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.65Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.66Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.65Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$0.67Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 15?$0.21Apr 15, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$79.80Apr 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$18.00Apr 15, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".