Careless-Ale
0x45002146b3f052e69b9daa2b87fce317ef50115d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-752.77
Realised
$-0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 27-November 2?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
12350 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-148.20
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 57 million views on day 4?
5780 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
3826 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
3632 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
1890 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
1499 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?
1326 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?$10.25Jun 12, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?$19.59Jun 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12?$7.34Jun 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12?$36.86Jun 12, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12?$1.05Jun 12, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 12?$58.78Jun 12, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12?$59.96Jun 12, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12?$133.34Jun 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?$59.22Jun 11, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?$1.05Jun 10, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?$3.15Jun 10, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?$166.35Jun 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?$30.63Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?$78.06Jun 10, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.98Jun 6, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$67.79Jun 6, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.27May 25, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$6.88May 25, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.