Confused-Methane
0x45036fe0657752a7e4d0bc1c8ddbad4cc957e250
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.79
Total PnL
$-4.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$0.00
- NO
Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$1.61
$0.00
- NO
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- JACKSONVILLE STATE
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.04Apr 30, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.04Apr 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.03Mar 28, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.05Mar 28, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET$2.39Dec 30, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?$1.61Dec 30, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.38Dec 10, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.69Dec 10, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.07Dec 10, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.40Dec 10, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.74Dec 10, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$13.14Dec 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.17Dec 9, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.06Dec 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.23Dec 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.21Dec 8, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.80Dec 8, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.01Dec 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.13Dec 8, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.98Dec 8, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 01:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".