Fearful-Socialist
0x4526ab9f8b42770c647ba8ba8a3c5ca125462d4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$82.04
Total PnL
$-179.16
Realised
$25.32
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.22
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?
6 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.00
$5.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?
16 shares @ 9.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.36
$3.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 22?
14 shares @ 9.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.69
$3.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 22?
12 shares @ 9.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.26
$3.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 22?
13 shares @ 9.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.70
$2.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 22?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.30
$2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 23?
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.84
$0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?
10 shares @ 9.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.75
$1.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?
8 shares @ 9.1¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.56
$1.83
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 22?$5.00May 22, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 22?$0.09May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 22?$4.95May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 22?$4.38May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on May 22?$4.95May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 22?$2.91May 22, 02:46 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 22?$5.00May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 22?$4.79May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 22?$4.74May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 22?$3.89May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$4.99May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 22?$4.95May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 22?$4.97May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?$3.99May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 22?$3.85May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?$3.75May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 24?$0.02May 22, 02:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONLowest temperature in NYC on May 24?$10.00May 22, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 24?$9.98May 22, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?$9.97May 22, 02:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".