Ultimate-Mentor
0x452f753a90bee1b3d45fba6b2775d31be215a0ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-198.00
Realised
$38.94
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
538 shares @ 84.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$397.86
$-54.13
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
217 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$198.36
$4.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
167 shares @ 79.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$147.65
$14.65
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
187 shares @ 80.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$116.91
$-34.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
89 shares @ 93.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$86.80
$3.75
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?
75 shares @ 77.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$66.87
$8.87
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
47 shares @ 74.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.87
$7.87
- NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.73
$1.73
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
30 shares @ 85.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.44
$3.44
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
33 shares @ 82.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$28.71
$1.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?$0.28Jul 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?$3.19Jul 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$17.00Jul 23, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$11.53Jul 23, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$4.38Jul 23, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$95.00Jul 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$84.51Jul 22, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$99.00Jul 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?$11.22Jul 22, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipCars FDV above $3M one day after launch?$9.02Jul 22, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$9.06Jul 22, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$18.00Jul 22, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$85.63Jul 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$17.65Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?$9.06Jul 22, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$91.71Jul 21, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $60 in July?$85.82Jul 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$22.00Jul 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?$9.16Jul 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$13.00Jul 21, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $29.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.