0x4534d2b77251a09f9b639d5a09b0c9a8998b7f60
0x4534d2b77251a09f9b639d5a09b0c9a8998b7f60
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- LIQUID
IEM Dallas: Liquid vs. MOUZ
1000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 5?
680 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Deficit" during Carney visit on May 6?
290 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-110.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?
270 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-116.10
- NO
Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?
265 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-209.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?
190 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?
80 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-48.80
- NO
Will Croatia beat France?
65 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2025$0.00
$-48.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7 AM ET
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7 AM ET$25.00Jun 6, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$25.00Jun 5, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 5?$340.00Jun 4, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11 AM ET$340.00Jun 4, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$17.00Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on June 4?$2.50Jun 3, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 4?$2.50Jun 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11 AM ET$170.00Jun 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?$187.00Jun 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: BetBoom vs. Nemiga$2.10Jun 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?$193.80Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Mazowieckie?$1.20May 31, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$17.50May 20, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$2.50May 20, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Dallas: Liquid vs. MOUZ$20.40May 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Dallas: Liquid vs. MOUZ$10.20May 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Dallas: Liquid vs. MOUZ$309.40May 20, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$360.00May 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$122.76May 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$3.10May 19, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $53.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".