Joint-Timeline
0x453615dcd0612a1daa02d8f6157bded8cfc0f54f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$481.33
Total PnL
$-229.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
297 shares @ 82.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$270.56
$25.00
- YES
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
211 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$210.77
$10.77
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
134 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?
116 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?
112 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?
67 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$108.41Mar 8, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$52.94Mar 4, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$52.94Mar 4, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS congress stock trading ban before 2027?$245.56Feb 25, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$47.06Feb 25, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Feb 25, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$200.00Feb 23, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$377.27Jan 15, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2025?$10.00Nov 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?$110.89Oct 30, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?$30.00Oct 29, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?$30.00Oct 29, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?$30.00Oct 29, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$5.00Sep 4, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$10.00Aug 12, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboi Carti release another album before August?$0.00Aug 2, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboi Carti release another album before August?$117.65Aug 2, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$132.00Jul 26, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?$80.00Jul 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$200.00Jul 25, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $94.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".