US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Probability
11¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$14.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.4h
- 06:38SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5993h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $7.8M
- 3¢-0.9pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $632.5K
- 43¢-5.5pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $465.2K
- 23¢+8.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Politics · Vol $454.4K
- 5¢-0.2pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $388.3K
- 57¢+5.9pp
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $380.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Spiffy-Noon5.2K
- Compassionate-Kneejerk1.3K
- Whimsical-Paint1.1K
- Optimal-Plan550
- Rigid-Torso421