0x4548adb292c42c45f1facfdd09d8b54f4f09b143
0x4548adb292c42c45f1facfdd09d8b54f4f09b143
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$107.16
Total PnL
$-8.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.51
$0.51
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.81
$3.81
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.43
$-0.04
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$50.0038d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.0038d ago
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$20.0042d ago
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?$10.0042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?$14.4742d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$20.0042d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $19.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 38d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".