0x45570b3c4ca798121122c5b80027f612d73594cd
0x45570b3c4ca798121122c5b80027f612d73594cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s?
500275 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2021$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021?
9778 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
2278 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2021$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the majority of France’s starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France?
1857 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2021$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account?
1853 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021?
958 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2021$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15?
312 shares @ 72.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2021$0.00
$-227.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.