Weak-Initialise
0x45616fb876cf0caed16eeab53b7043734cb1f71b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$106.64
Total PnL
$-65.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
73 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.72
$-0.02
- MATTEO ARNALDI
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$8.24
$4.04
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?
1833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
1083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 22?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
889 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$73.00Jun 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$4.26Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$77.08Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$77.00May 31, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$11.74May 31, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$89.09May 31, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$89.01May 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?$13.60May 30, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?$12.46May 30, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$90.18May 30, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$90.00May 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?$12.44May 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$5.56May 28, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$107.32May 28, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$107.02May 27, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$96.89May 27, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$97.01May 27, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$8.29May 27, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$99.20May 27, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$99.01May 26, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $70.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".