Weak-Initialise
0x45616fb876cf0caed16eeab53b7043734cb1f71b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$107.11
Total PnL
$-69.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?
107 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$107.11
$0.11
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?
1833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
1083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 22?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
889 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22?
720 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 12?
525 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?$107.01Jul 18, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$107.11Jul 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$107.00Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$8.24Jun 30, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$11.75Jun 30, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?$13.61Jun 30, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$73.07Jun 30, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$73.00Jun 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$4.26Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$77.08Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$77.00May 31, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$11.74May 31, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$89.09May 31, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$89.01May 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?$13.60May 30, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?$12.46May 30, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$90.18May 30, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$90.00May 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?$12.44May 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$5.56May 28, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $74.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.