Dependable-Cape
0x456174c52be7d65d0781cca7a850c6da1169fdf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.86
Total PnL
$-121.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.86
$-0.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 8PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
4950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
145 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
97 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
65 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
40 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $2.16Jan 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$5.00Jan 4, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$8.57Jan 3, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)$12.82Jan 3, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$16.67Jan 3, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$26.32Jan 3, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$6.00Dec 29, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$5.00Dec 29, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Dec 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 8PM ET$5.00Dec 29, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$2.00Dec 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$10.00Dec 29, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Dec 29, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)$10.00Dec 29, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Dec 29, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Dec 29, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Dec 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$10.00Dec 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.00Dec 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$10.00Dec 19, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $8.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.