Easy-Going-Garlic
0x4563dd260f0e30bb411e7bc22a3fedd1c76eddd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$55.92
Total PnL
$-69.66
Realised
$-2.34
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
55 shares @ 3.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.06
$18.06
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 8.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.01
$10.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.96
$4.96
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.70
$3.70
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
417 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.62
$2.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
278 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.97
$-1.03
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Trump out as President by July 31?
240 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.84
$-1.16
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
27 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?
159 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.04Jul 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$1.04Jul 13, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.40Jul 13, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?$1.05Jul 10, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$1.05Jul 10, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$1.04Jul 9, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.04Jul 9, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$1.04Jul 9, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 9, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$6.24Jul 9, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$0.49Jul 9, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.03Jul 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance out as VP by July 31?$1.04Jul 9, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?$1.04Jul 9, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?$1.03Jul 9, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$1.03Jul 9, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$1.03Jul 9, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.