Outrageous-Outcome
0x45817e731cf1647dacc4731e46b13dafafdc14cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.85
Total PnL
$-34.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
161 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.85
$-0.89
- OKSAVINGSBANK BRION
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs KT Rolster (BO1)
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- LONG BEACH STATE BEACH
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- COWBOYS
Cowboys vs. Lions
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.33Feb 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?$1.10Feb 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?$1.70Feb 26, 17:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Feb 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$5.60Feb 25, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$6.00Feb 25, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$4.44Feb 25, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.76Feb 25, 02:37 UTC
- REWARD$0.37Feb 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$7.40Feb 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.74Jan 20, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs KT Rolster (BO1)$7.00Dec 7, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMUC Davis Aggies vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors$2.47Dec 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUC Davis Aggies vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors$2.00Dec 5, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLong Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos$1.00Dec 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLong Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos$1.00Dec 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$1.00Dec 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$1.00Dec 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$3.00Dec 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$1.00Nov 4, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".