Innocent-Cornerstone
0x4582ba060aa693848c319d9c8092943ba373d570
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$329.11
Total PnL
$12.44
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$198.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
27 shares @ 55.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.41
$9.41
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
25 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.35
$2.35
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
24 shares @ 74.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.34
$4.47
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
22 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.45
$0.45
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
21 shares @ 92.4¢·now 90.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.69
$-0.31
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$0.00Apr 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$0.00Apr 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$17.87Apr 6, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?$20.00Apr 6, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$22.00Apr 6, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$12.00Apr 6, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$13.00Apr 6, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?$19.00Apr 6, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$0.00Mar 22, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$0.00Mar 22, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 22, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.00Mar 22, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$14.08Mar 22, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$17.24Mar 22, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$63.29Mar 22, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.75Jan 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.75Jan 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.80Jan 12, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.