Next-Waiting
0x45857d7b3c1ec6e06406a83d1e537eb983b278bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$101.93
Total PnL
$-14.58
Realised
$0.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Another US bank failure by March 31?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.81
$0.81
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
6 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.66
$0.66
- NO
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.52
$0.52
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
5 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- NO
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.34
$0.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.00Mar 19, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.00Mar 19, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev$0.00Mar 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?$0.13Mar 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.05Mar 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$5.52Mar 19, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$0.00Mar 19, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 19, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 19, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$0.00Mar 19, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.56Mar 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev$5.00Mar 14, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.00Mar 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$3.78Mar 9, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$5.43Mar 9, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US bank failure by February 28?$5.68Mar 9, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 19:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.