Sane-Octagon
0x458e7bd13665ba82e52f7f77341ed8c8c13d8034
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$24.62
Total PnL
$-92.69
Realised
$-0.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 16?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.65
$-0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 16?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.14
$1.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?
110 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.05
$-44.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 24?
22 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25?
20 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 25?
15 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 25?
11 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 25?
9 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 12?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$4.78May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$2.41May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?$2.66May 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 16?$5.14May 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 16?$5.14May 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 16?$0.42May 14, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 16?$1.69May 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 16?$1.55May 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$5.55May 14, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 16?$4.23May 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 16?$0.96May 14, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$1.32May 14, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$6.93May 14, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".