Tough-Burden
0x458e7f3d675bed7a61650baad730ac530c6451b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$9.0K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2400 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$19.40
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1535 shares @ 94.4¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.5K
$41.69
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?
1502 shares @ 91.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.4K
$30.89
- NO
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
1418 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.4K
$22.74
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?
995 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$979.71
$0.68
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
656 shares @ 87.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$593.53
$18.82
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?
447 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$431.12
$-2.46
- YES
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
1338 shares @ 20.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$180.63
$-90.01
- YES
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
104 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$104.20
$58.35
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?
73 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$72.49
$1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$11.50May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$57.50May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$11.50May 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$115.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$3.79May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$28.00May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$15.60May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$6.61May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$11.50May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$0.98May 18, 04:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.66May 18, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $128.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".