Selfish-Shampoo
0x45a39326be48a1209bc9e641a216513cf19512f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$252.54
Win rate
93%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2115 shares @ 66.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.2K
$-179.56
- NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by July 31?
955 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$925.91
$30.62
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
902 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$889.67
$10.47
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in July?
600 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$593.40
$27.40
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?
581 shares @ 98.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$568.94
$-3.64
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
560 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$556.25
$17.20
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
500 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$498.00
$17.60
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?
500 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$496.00
$10.00
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?
500 shares @ 90.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$490.25
$36.17
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of July 27 2026?
500 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$481.50
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?$1.40Jul 29, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?$178.78Jul 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $90 in July?$99.70Jul 28, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?$1.00Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.40 in July?$0.67Jul 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$296.10Jul 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$198.00Jul 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$18.52Jul 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$5.75Jul 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$17.88Jul 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$2.18Jul 28, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$1.29Jul 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$2.11Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$2.51Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in July?$2.06Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$607.35Jul 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$529.23Jul 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of July 27 2026?$3.60Jul 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$19.23Jul 28, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $57.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.