Which-Fragrance
0x45ac7da3a37f18f64d15cb2a26c0bb1661dcb74a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$46.95
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.96
$0.98
- NO
Will Trump say "No No No" during TPUSA events on April 17?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.85
$0.87
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next video?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.63
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.54
$0.55
- NO
Will Trump say "Secret Service" during TPUSA events on April 17?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.39
$0.40
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1 shares @ 73.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1 shares @ 74.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Trump say "TikTok" during TPUSA events on April 17?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.34
$0.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Lunatic" or "Lunacy" during TPUSA events on April 17?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.29
$0.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest" during TPUSA events on April 17?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.27
$0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next video?$1.12Apr 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Panican" this week on Truth Social?$1.00Apr 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Epstein" this week on Truth Social?$1.00Apr 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TACO" or "Trump Always Chickens Out" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AOC" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Losing MAGA" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gay for Palestine" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Edge of the D" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?$1.00Apr 17, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ronaldo" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?$1.00Apr 17, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Foul" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?$1.00Apr 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Offside" be said 5+ times during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?$1.00Apr 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stadium" be said 5+ times during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?$1.00Apr 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during TPUSA events on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during TPUSA events on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Lunatic" or "Lunacy" during TPUSA events on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.