Intent-Sailboat
0x45b9e5dd2d85454cf3869ff97bda5c5cd76a28e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$7.98
Total PnL
$-115.45
Realised
$11.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.98
$-2.02
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
35 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.22
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will no leader be out in 2025?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-06?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
15 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$35.64Jan 10, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.57Jan 10, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSV win on 2025-12-21?$8.20Dec 26, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$10.00Dec 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?$5.00Dec 11, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2025-12-21?$5.00Dec 11, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-14?$5.00Dec 11, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NEC win on 2025-12-13?$5.00Dec 11, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSV win on 2025-12-06?$5.00Dec 10, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$7.58Dec 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Ducks$5.00Nov 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$3.00Nov 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced in 2025?$10.83Nov 28, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?$10.87Nov 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2025-12-06?$3.65Nov 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?$2.00Nov 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-30?$2.50Nov 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$5.00Nov 23, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$5.00Nov 23, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?$2.50Nov 23, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".