Insubstantial-Favor
0x45be522ff5098d3cc545166b2e30c8377a9cab8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$488.84
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-393.46
Win rate
31%
113 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
140 shares @ 89.1¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$137.09
$11.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
108 shares @ 41.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$107.62
$62.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
123 shares @ 57.7¢·now 48.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$60.20
$-10.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
158 shares @ 28.4¢·now 36.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$57.44
$12.58
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
76 shares @ 69.0¢·now 63.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$48.20
$-4.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
35 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$34.94
$3.14
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
22 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$22.07
$17.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
93 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.38
$-1.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
259 shares @ 15.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.09
$-33.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
1776 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.44
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$19.40May 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$19.35May 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$13.70May 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$8.26May 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.35May 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.78May 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.62May 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$9.47May 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$24.46May 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.96May 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.17May 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.17May 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$31.99May 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.01May 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.65May 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$7.76May 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$52.25May 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.89May 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$20.49May 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.46May 13, 15:05 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 113 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".