Alarming-Retention
0x45be54534ad43a652ae422c09b8cbff21b986a4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$44.04
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
9 shares @ 98.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 98.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.98
$-0.02
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Celtics
3171 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- PADRES
Padres vs. Reds
1219 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-658.26
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
21 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$10.02Jun 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping divorce before 2027?$9.00Jun 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.01Jun 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.01Jun 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.01Jun 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$13.59Jun 3, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.90Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$8.12Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?$5.00Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$5.27Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.33Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.33Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.68Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Celtics$1.6KDec 2, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?$5.00Oct 1, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.70Oct 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.40Oct 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.20Oct 1, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $99.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.