Pointed-Wilderness
0x45e6df48ccf5d1773d509c97052f819690cec078
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$320.25
Total PnL
$-94.75
Realised
$7.00
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?
33 shares @ 88.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.88
$-14.45
- YES
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
26 shares @ 63.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.38
$-2.26
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
15 shares @ 88.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$13.27
$-0.02
- YES
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?
19 shares @ 65.7¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.60
$-1.62
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 57.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.14
$-4.95
- NO
Will KAST launch a token by March 31, 2027?
20 shares @ 48.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Apr 1, 2027$8.70
$-0.95
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
10 shares @ 75.4¢·now 68.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.84
$-0.70
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
10 shares @ 59.5¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.90
$-0.05
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
15 shares @ 53.7¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.77
$-2.27
- NO
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
10 shares @ 53.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.55
$0.33
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.