Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Probability
25¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$345.73
Probability (last 7 days)
-10.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 25¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5943h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5943.0h
- 09:02SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5943h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 26¢.
Biggest hourly move: -21.5pp at 3d ago (to 22¢).
Show top 8 of 30 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -11.0pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -11.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -11.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -21.5pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · -15.0pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -11.5pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · -11.5pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · -11.0pp → 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 4¢-0.4pp
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.3pp
Will Arnold Allen be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $93.84
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Fighter B be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Fighter E be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Fighter G be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Brian Ortega be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Fighter D be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-38.5pp
Lakers vs. Rockets
Sports · Vol $11.3M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $857.8K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $751.6K
- 50¢-4.0pp
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Sports · Vol $708.3K
- 16¢+1.1pp
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $657.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ETLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.