Glistening-Spit
0x45ea781484ecb15aeddeb7cd85caaba2fe3bbe16
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$489.07
Total PnL
$-671.80
Realised
$150.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
8786 shares @ 8.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$487.62
$-250.53
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.44
$-48.56
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win?
569 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-63.38
- NO
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
150 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
101 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?$51.10May 19, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$103.68May 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$103.70May 19, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$454.10May 19, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$103.72May 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELL World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$118.50May 19, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 12, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 12, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$155.55Apr 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$100.00Apr 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$193.85Apr 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$213.23Apr 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$40.00Apr 11, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?$44.78Apr 10, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$100.00Apr 10, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$100.00Apr 10, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win?$10.00Mar 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win?$3.38Mar 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.31Mar 7, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $77.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".